Large Tornado Prompts PDS Warning in Illinois

A series of rotating thunderstorms prompted multiple tornado warnings across northern Illinois Sunday night, including a particularly dangerous situation warning for portions of Henry and Bureau counties. At 9 p.m. CDT, the National Weather Service said a large and extremely dangerous tornado was near Johnson-Sauk Trail State Park, about 7 miles north of Kewanee, moving east at approximately 20 mph. Forecasters warned of a potentially damaging tornado and urged residents in its path to immediately seek shelter.

The tornado threat continued farther east through Bureau and Lee counties later in the evening. At 10:44 p.m., the National Weather Service maintained a tornado warning for northeastern Bureau County after radar detected rotation near La Moille, about 9 miles west of Mendota. A separate warning remained in effect for southeastern Lee County, where another rotating storm was located near Paw Paw. Farther south, another tornado warning was active for parts of Marshall, Stark and Peoria counties, where forecasters said a storm capable of producing a tornado was near Wyoming and moving east at 25 mph. Residents were warned that nighttime tornadoes can be difficult to see and not to wait for visual confirmation before taking shelter.

The broader severe weather threat was expected to persist overnight and into the beginning of the workweek. A severe thunderstorm watch covering much of northern Illinois remained in effect until 4 a.m. Monday, while a flood watch extended through 7 a.m. across northeastern Illinois and northwest Indiana. Forecasters said repeated thunderstorms could produce localized rainfall rates exceeding 2 inches per hour, with some areas already receiving between 1 and 3 inches Sunday. Additional rounds of thunderstorms were expected Monday through Wednesday, bringing continued risks of flash flooding and severe weather, particularly Monday into Tuesday.

This post has been updated with new information since it was published.

M7.3 Earthquake strikes Mexico/Guatemala Border

A Magnitude 7.3 earthquake has struck near the Mexico and Guatemala border. At approximately 9:48 AM local time, USGS reported the quake, which occurred 48 km (~30 mi) from Aquiles Serdán, Mexico, and happened approximately 10 km below the surface. Tsunami Warnings have been issued along the coast for the region, with wave heights of 0.3 to 1 meter possible. As of writing, according to the President of Mexico, Claudia Sheinbaum has stated that there are no victims.

This is a Breaking News story. The Faytuks Weather Network will update this story once more details are available.

Guam, Northern Mariana Islands Prepare for Super Typhoon Bavi: Update #1

For the second time in four months and the first recorded time in the islands history, a Category 5 Super Typhoon is forecasted to strike Guam and Northern Mariana Islands, causing citizens and the military to prepare yet again for powerful winds and potential power outages.

Back in April, Super Typhoon Sinlaku struck Guam and the Northern Mariana Islands, with estimated windspeeds of up to 150mph (~130kts) causing an estimated $1.5 Billion in Damage, killing 17. While the islands have been recorded to have been struck 94 times, and on average gets affected by at least 6-7 typhoons yearly.

As of July 4th, at 7 PM ChST Bavi was approximately 390 miles east of Guam, moving west at 8 mph (13 km/h), with Maximum sustained winds of 165 mph (143 kts). A slight shift toward the west-northwest and a slight increase in speed is expected through Monday. The National Weather Service in Tiyan has issued a Typhoon Warning, which is in effect until Tuesday Night. Along with the Typhoon Warning, a Flood Watch is also in effect until late Tuesday, with rainfall amounts ranging from 12-20 inches possible as Bavi passes. Conditions are expected to deteriorate starting in the early afternoon on Sunday. With the 7 PM ChST Advisory, the forecast track is expecting Bavi to be between Guam and Saipan Monday morning. According to Warning Coordination Meteorologist Landon Aydlett “Bavi is coming. We’re going to feel it. Be ready,”

As of 5 AM CST, Guam remains in a Condition of Readiness (COR) level 3, which means that “A typhoon may possibly hit the island within 48 hours.” At 10 PM ChST, the Governor will declare COR 2, which means “A typhoon is expected to hit the island within 24 hours.” Once COR 2 is put into place, all government offices will close until COR 4 (Normal Day to Day) is put into place. Multiple shelters on the island are opening at 7 AM. Those who are seeking shelter have been told to bring at least 7 days worth of food. At 2 PM, all beaches on Naval Base Guam closed. Guam Memorial Hospitals have suspended elective appointments, procedures, as of July 4th at 3 pm. All commercial vessels greater than or equal to 200 gross tons have been ordered to evacuate port in Guam and Northern Mariana Islands by the U.S. Coast Guard.

In Saipan, the capital of the Northern Mariana Islands, Water is to be shut off starting at 12 PM on Sunday in tank-fed areas, with the entire system anticipated to be shut down by 6 PM. In Rota, Water Pressure is already out in the higher elevations. The Northern Mariana Islands are in Typhoon Condition III, which means “Damaging winds are possible within 48 hours or less.” and a Declaration of Significant Emergency has been issued by the Governor. The Commonwealth Healthcare Corporation has closed all Outpatient Pharmacies for Sunday July 5th, and will remain closed until an all clear is issued. D-NAP (Disaster Nutrition Assistance Program) operations have been postponed until it becomes safe to do so. Shelters are already open on all three islands within the commonwealth.

The Faytuks Weather Network will be following Super Typhoon Bavi throughout the weekend, and will update once new information is available.

Severe Weather Strikes the Midwest – More Expected Today

Over the last week, the Midwest has been ravaged by rounds of severe weather, including a rare phenomenon called a derecho and a tornado outbreak. Today, there is a moderate in place over some of the areas already hit and effected by last week’s storms.

In the last week, a Derecho and multiple tornadoes, including two EF-3s, struck portions of Illinois and Indiana. Today, there is a Moderate Risk (level 4/5) of severe weather, in an “all-hazards expected” type of day. Tornado Watches have already been issued, with long track, potentially violent tornadoes possible.

Severe weather strikes the midwest - more expected today

From last week, two of the hardest hit areas were Streator, IL and Koutz, IN. Multiple meteorologists and storm chasers were covering these storms as they moved through the area. Some tornadoes were estimated to be stronger, but simply didn’t do damage to gain a higher rating. This would include Dwight, Washburn, and Ipava, IL.

Severe weather strikes the midwest - more expected today
Severe weather strikes the midwest - more expected today
Severe weather strikes the midwest - more expected today

From Left to Right: The Dwight, IL tornado. Credit: Tim Cygnar; The Ipava, IL tornado. Credit: Storm Chaser Jared King. The Washburn, IL tornado. Credit: Meteorologists Brandon Weart and Daniel Wefer.

The Faytuks Weather team will be monitoring and tracking Severe Weather throughout the afternoon, and updating on our X Account as the day progresses.

LIVEM7.8 Earthquake Strikes Philippines – Tsunami Advisories Issued

A preliminary Magnitude 7.8 Earthquake has struck in the Philippines, causing Tsunami Advisories to be issued in areas in the Pacific. The depth as reported by the United States Geological Survey (USGS) has the depth estimated as 35km, or about 22 mi underground.

Preliminarily, the epicenter is estimated to be 24 miles west southwest of Burias, Philippines, located in the Pacific Ocean. In the Philippines, a Tsunami Warning has been issued, for wave heights of more than 1 meter above normal tides, with a risk for higher waves in closed bays and straits. The US Tsunami Warning Center has issued advisories for most of the pacific islands, along with Guam. Japan has also issued a Tsunami Advisory.

Early images are coming out, with collapsed buildings. Live streams from the area are repeating the last few seconds of shaking before being taken offline.

The Faytuks Weather Team has made this a live blog, and will be updating as we get more information.

Tropical Storm Amanda Forms in the Eastern Pacific

Tropical Storm Amanda Credit: CIRA/NOAA

The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is tracking Tropical Amanda in the Eastern Pacific basin, 1475 miles south of Baja California. This storm originally was Tropical Depression One-E. There is no threat to population with this storm.

At the 8 AM NHC Advisory, Amanda had sustained winds of 40 mph or 65 km/h. The minimum central pressure was at 1006 mb, moving northwest at 8 mph or 13 km/h. Amanda is expected to strengthen over the next few days, before becoming subtropical and dissipating.

While not being the earliest tropical storm to form in the eastern pacific basin, it is earlier than average for the first storm to form, which is June 10th. The eastern Pacific hurricane season runs a little bit longer than both the central Pacific and Atlantic hurricane seasons, as it runs from May 15th until November 30th. Both the Atlantic and central Pacific seasons run from June 1st through November 30th.

Elsewhere in the basin, the NHC is monitoring two other areas of interest just off the west coast of Mexico, one at 20% and one at 50% chances of formation within the next 7 days.

Faytuks Weather Network will be monitoring this storm, and all of the tropic basins throughout the season.

Weather Update 5.18.26

A potentially extremely dangerous day is possible today throughout portions of the central US. This follows after a damaging tornado occurred yesterday near St Libory Nebraska, where two homes were destroyed.

Today, the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has issued a Moderate, with EF2-3+ tornadoes likely. Within this moderate risk, they have issued a Particularly Dangerous Situation (PDS) Tornado Watch, in portions of northeast Kansas and southeast Nebraska. Some big cities included in this watch are Salina and Manhattan Kansas. On this watch, there’s an 80% chance of 2 or more tornadoes, and an 80% chance of at least 1 significant tornado (EF2+). Not only are tornadoes a massive concern, there’s also a very good risk for hail exceeding 4+ inches in diameter, around the size of a softball. In the mesoscale discussion posted before the watch was issued, it was stated that “A favorable environment for all severe hazards–including very-large/giant hail and strong to intense tornadoes–will develop through the afternoon.”

Along with the moderate risk, there are also active fires located in southern California, along with an extremely critical fire risk in the Texas and Oklahoma panhandles, portions of far east New Mexico, and far southwestern Kansas. The Sandy Fire, located just south of Simi Valley, California, has burned as of writing, 139 acres. An Evacuation order is in place for Simi Valley zones 32, 33, 34, and 35, all being in the Go phase. Zones Simi Valley 31, Thousand Oaks 06 and 07, are all in the Set phase. Simi Valley is also the location of the Ronald Reagan Presidential Library, which is just outside of zone Simi Valley 31.

The Faytuks Weather team will be monitoring all of these threats throughout the rest of the day and update as needed.



Weather Update 5.16.26

The Day 1 Outlook by the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) for May 16th, 2026.

This weekend is shaping up to be a historical severe and fire weather weekend in the central US. Over the next four days, the Storm Prediction Center has two Critical Fire Risks, and one Extreme Fire Risk, along with three straight Enhanced risks for severe weather, along with a 15% contour for severe weather on Tuesday (Equivalent to a Slight Risk).

Starting with the Fire Weather. Fire Weather is when a combination of dry fuels, low relative humidity, high temperatures, and high winds all mix together to create conditions that are how we get those massive wildfires. The biggest day for the conditions, are on Sunday. This is when that Extreme Fire Risk is in effect for portions of the Oklahoma and Texas panhandles, along with far east New Mexico. Winds are forecasted to be sustained between 25-30 mph (40-48 kph), with a relative humidity forecasted to be between 5-15%. Wildfires have already ravaged parts of the Texas panhandle, including in Randall County, where the Hunggate Fire has already burned for 14,000 acres and as of writing, is only 40% contained. Also as of writing, fires are starting to spark in the Oklahoma panhandle, due to dry thunderstorms. Dry thunderstorms are storms in which thunder and lightning occur, but any rain evaporates before it reaches the ground due to atmospheric conditions.

Moving onto Severe Weather, there are three straight days of enhanced risks (Level 3/5). For today, the risk is centralized over parts of northern Kansas, far northeast Colorado, and southern Nebraska. Today, the biggest concern is for strong winds and large hail, though a strong tornado is also possible. How today plays out, will also have an impact on tomorrow’s potential Tornado Outbreak.

For Tomorrow, there’s an Enhanced risk with a 15# (15% chance of an EF2+ tornado) over the Iowa/South Dakota/Nebraska border. The day is expected to start out with isolated supercells, before forming a line going across the region, bringing strong winds (potentially 75+ mph) and large hail. The general area for those supercells is extremely narrow. The bowing segment is forecasted to be going from northeast Colorado, through central Kansas, and heading northeast through towards Sioux City.

For Monday, for the first time since the introduction of the system earlier this year, a 30## (30 CIG2), indicating that severe weather is extremely likely. This includes the risk of large hail (2+ inches) and strong to intense (EF2-EF3+) tornadoes. While we aren’t entirely sure on how it will play out, mainly due to uncertainty in storm mode (will it be super cellular, or remain linear), it is shaping up to be a historic day.

Tuesday is mostly unknown at this time, due to seeing how the rest of this weekend plays out. At the time of writing, it’s expected to be a mostly damaging wind/hail threat.

The Faytuks Weather Team will be monitoring this weekend, and will be updating both here on the website, and on the twitter.

U.S. Severe Weather Update – April 27th, 2026

NWS Storm Prediction Center Day 1 Outlook

The Storm Prediction Center has issued a Moderate risk (Level 4/5) today in an all hazards type severe weather day for portions of eastern Missouri and southwest Illinois. Within this risk, there is a 15% CIG (Conditional Intensity Group) 2 for Tornadoes. What this means, is that within a 25 mile radius of hose in that risk, there is a 15% chance of an EF3 tornado, which would indicate winds between 136-165 mph, or 219-265 kph. Tornadoes aren’t the only risk today though, as there is also a 45% wind risk, which would indicate a good chance of severe wind gusts of over 60 mph or 64 kts. Finally, there is also a 30% CIG 1 risk for Hail, which means that there is a 30% chance of hail that is 2+ inches in size, or about the size of a hen egg.

Nws storm prediction center day 1 outlook
Day 1 severe weather outlook. Image: NWS/SPC

The reason why this severe weather set up is so interesting, is that as of writing there is a line of storms going through Central Illinois. What this should do is limit the atmosphere and it’s ability to recover instability to make this outbreak more widespread. Unfortunately, even with that line of storms going through up north, meteorologists are still very confident in the main moderate risk. Overall, it has been shaping up to be a big severe weather impact day.

Due to the severe weather forecasted, over twenty school districts within the St. Louis metro either have closed, or will close early today. If you are placed under a warning today, ensure you are sheltering in a sturdy building, in the lowest interior room with no outside walls. Make sure you are wearing or have closed toe shoes ready, and bring a helmet if you can! If you are caught driving, do not shelter under an overpass. Being under an overpass during any type is dangerous as the overpass almost acts as a tunnel for wind and rain.

The Faytuks Weather team will be monitoring this event throughout the day, and posting updates to the twitter as we can.